Modeling the Transmission of COVID-19: The Good, the Bad and the Ugly
The aim of such models has been two-fold:
(1) to understand the severity of the outbreak and the effects of various control measures and,
(2) to make projections regarding disease burden.
In this talk we will discuss some of the modeling techniques used in epidemiology, we will then look at COIVD-19 models and argue that while many of the models were successful in the first aim outlined above, many of the models were off the mark in their projections. We discuss possible reasons for this and suggest some ways forward.
Professor Adnan Khan will be talking about “Modeling the Transmission of COVID-19: The Good, the Bad and the Ugly” on Monday, 13 December 2021 at 4pm. This is in continuation of the seminars being held under the banner of “John Conway Spirited Seminar Series” by the Department of Mathematics at SBASSE, LUMS.
Please see seminar series link below for details on all sessions in this series: